Obsessedsportsnut's Blog

April 12, 2010

Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions

Filed under: hockey — Tags: , , — Jonathan Lee @ 11:32 am

Western Conference Quarterfinals

(1) San Jose over (8) Colorado –  5 games

(2) Chicago over (7) Nashville – 6 games

(6) Los Angeles over (3) Vancouver – 7 games

(5) Detroit over (4) Phoenix – 6 games

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals

(1) Washington over (8) Montreal – 4 games

(2) New Jersey over (7) Philadelphia – 7 games

(6) Boston over (3) Buffalo – 6 games

(4) Pittsburgh over (5) Ottawa – 6 games

Western Conference Semifinals

(1) San Jose over (6) Los Angeles – 6 games

(5) Detroit over (2) Chicago – 7 games

Eastern Conference Semifinals

(1) Washington over (6) Boston – 6 games

(4) Pittsburgh over (2) New Jersey – 7 games

Western Conference Finals

(1) San Jose over (5) Detroit – 6 games

Eastern Conference Finals

(1) Washington over (4) Pittsburgh – 7 games

Stanley Cup Finals

San Jose over Washington in 6 games

April 8, 2010

Sharks and the 2009-2010 playoffs

Filed under: hockey — Tags: , — Jonathan Lee @ 10:34 pm

April. It’s that time of the year again when I write my yearly “why the San Jose Sharks will win the Stanley Cup” post. For the past 4-5 years, I’ve started the postseason with great anticipation…”THIS WILL BE THE YEAR WHEN THE SHARKS FINALLY BRINGING HOME THE CUP!” Obviously, every year has ended in disappointment. The Sharks are the ultimate tease…great regular season team…horrible post season team.

Every year, I’ve said, “this is by far the BEST Sharks team in franchise history. this is the most complete team ever. We will finally win!”

I’m afraid to say it again…but…this is by far the best Sharks team in our team’s history. I believe this is one of the most complete teams we’ve ever had. However….will we win? Im actually kind of nervous this year. There are way too many good teams out there: Chicago, Washington, Pittsburgh, and Vancouver.  Will we win? I’m actually not that confident this year…but I know we can match up with the best of them.

Some important thoughts going into the playoffs.

1. The play of the Sharks heading into the playoffs

Last year, the Sharks limped into the playoffs. They started the season strong, but by the end, they only won 5 of their 10 last games. A month before the end of the season, they were nursing some serious injuries with Jonathan Cheechoo, Torrey Mitchell, Jeremy Roenick, Patrick Marleau, Ryan Clowe, and Mike Grier all banged up. They were simply out of sync and not playing well. They were unluckily paired up with the Anaheim Ducks who were in the opposite scenario…they started the season poorly, but were playing so amazingly well come playoffs. They’re hot play continued on to the postseason, where they beat the Sharks 4 games to 2.

This year, the Sharks again went through a period of time when they lost 6 games in a row in March. That was actually…ok with me. It started to become gut check time, and they’ve responded extremely well in the last few games. In the past three games, against Colorado, Calgary, and Vancouver, they have played extremely well in “playoff like games.”

These past two games specifically have been extremely impressive. On Tuesday’s game against Calgary, Calgary was fighting for their playoff lives. They needed to win in order to have a chance to make the playoffs. The Sharks were up 2-1 in the 3rd period, and Calgary threw everything at the Sharks. Yet the Sharks played great defensive hockey, and hung on to win.

Tonight’s game was equally impressive. The Sharks skated out to a 4-0 lead through 2 periods, Vancouver got testy and physical, and the Sharks responded and fought back. There were a total of 76 penalty minutes in the 3rd, with the Sharks getting 51 of them. There was a time when there were 6 Sharks players in the penalty box. Yes the Canucks scored 2 power play goals, but that didnt matter. Sharks fan had to love the fact that the players didnt take any crap from the Canucks, got mad, and fought back. In the most encouraging sign, Joe Thornton even took exception about a play and got a 2 minute roughing penalty.

What was also encouraging tonight was that the three top lines chipped in to score goals: Thornton, Joe Pavelski, and Logan Couture/Manny Malhotra. The knock on the Sharks for a long time was whether or not they could generate enough scoring past their top line of Thornton, Marleau, Dany Heatley. In recent games, the 2nd and 3rd lines have been contributing tremendously to the scoring…a great sign heading into the playoffs.

2. The Mentality of the Sharks

In game 6 of the playoffs against Anaheim last year, Joe Thorton and Ryan Getzlaf, two of the best centers in hockey, dropped their gloves and fought only 2 seconds into the game. This was a continuation between bad blood between them in game 5.

Like the parody said, what would have happened if Joe Thornton started the playoffs angry? What would have happened if the entire team had started the playoffs angry? What have happened if the Sharks played with some heart last year? Things would have obviously been very different.

I’m starting to like the character the Sharks are playing with. Thornton isnt afraid to rough someone up. With Jody Shelly gone, Ryan Clowe is starting to take on the “you aint messing with my team” role. With the captaincy removed from him, Patrick Marleau is having a great year and is constantly always one of the best Sharks on the ice.

3. The X Factors

The key to success for the Sharks is the performance of two players: Joe Thornton and Evgeni Nabokov. I believe with everyone else on the ice, you know what you are getting. Dany Heatley, Patrick Marleau, Joe Pavelski, Ryan Clowe, Scott Nicol, Manny Malhotra, Dan Boyle, Rob Blake, Douglas Murray, Marc-Edouard Vlasic…you know that they will give you a good, solid performance.

Which Nabokov will show up for the playoffs? The one who performed atrociously in the quarterfinals game against Canada in the Olympics and gave up 6 goals. The one who gave up 5 goals on 21 shots against Dallas on 3/31 and was pulled? Or the one played lights out hockey in the past two games against Calgary and Vancouver, only giving up 3 goals on 70 shot attempts, while making some brilliant saves along the way.

Or Thornton…Will we expect a player who only scored 4 points in 6 straight losses…who while is one of the best passers in the game, still manages to give up the puck at the worst time. Or will we expect a player who wont play weak, but will pass will and skate hard? A player, who like tonight, showed his heart, character, and dedication to the team and fought for his team.

4. I will cry if…

The Sharks draw the Detroit Red Wings in the first round of the playoffs. Like the Ducks last year, Detroit started off the season horribly. All their star players were hurt, and they were in danger of not making the playoffs. They got healthy, and in March, they won 12 out of their 15 games.

The Sharks will finish either 1st or 2nd in the West. They will win the West if they beat Phoenix on Saturday, and Chicago loses at least one game. If Chicago wins their next two, they get the top seed. Los Angeles, Detroit, and Nashville are all tied with 98 points for the 5th spot. The only way the Sharks and Red Wings will match up is if the Sharks finish 2nd and the Red Wings finish 7th.

I cant even begin to think about the possibilities of “who needs to beat who”…in order for this to happen. It all depends on how Chicago, Los Angeles, Detroit, Nashville, and Colorado do in their next games, and because of some awesome scheduling, we get the following three games this coming weekend: Det vs Chi, Chi vs Col, LA vs Col.

5. Final Thoughts

The 2009-2010 playoffs are soon upon us. While we dont have it as bad as Cubs fans (60 years+ of sadness), it’s been a tough 5 years in San Jose. A great regular season team somehow magically disappears in the playoffs. We are the butt of so many hockey jokes.

Question: “How do you weaken Joe Thornton and make him useless?”

Answer: “Make him play in the postseason.”

Once again, I feel this is our best year to win it all. I really really do love the makeup of this team…from our top line to our fourth line…from our top defensive pairing to our 7th defenseman…from Nabby to Greiss. I believe this is a team built to go far in the playoffs.

Will Sharks fans be partying on the Alameda this June, or will we be asking the, “What happened question?”

I dunno, but once again, I cant wait to find out.

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