Obsessedsportsnut's Blog

July 9, 2010

World Cup 2010: Previewing the Finals between Spain and Netherlands

FIFA Rankings
Spain – #2
Netherlands – #4

Head to Head matchups

Since 1920, Spain and the Netherlands have played 9 times. Each team has won 4 times, lost 4 times, and drawn once. The last meeting was a 1-0 victory for Netherlands in 2002.

Best World Cup Performance
Spain – 4th Place in 1950. Quarterfinalists in 1934, 1986, 1994, and 2002.
Netherlands – Finalists in 1974 and 1978. Fourth place in 1998.

The Netherlands are arguably the best team in World Cup history to have never won the title.

Best European Championship Performance

Spain – Won the Euro in 2008 and 1964.
Netherlands – Won in 1988. Was Semifinalists in 1992, 2000, and 2004.

How did they get here?

In the final round of qualifying for the World Cup, 9 teams in the World finished with no losses, either all wins or ties: Ivory Coast, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Italy, Ireland, Australia, South Korea, and Nigeria.

Interestingly enough, only two teams won every single final round qualifying game: Spain and the Netherlands.

World Cup 2010 Performance

Spain: Lost their opening round game against Switzerland in one of the biggest upsets of the tournament. Despite the loss, they went on to win their group. Beat Portugal, Paraguay, and Germany to advance to the Finals. Outscored opponents 7-2 in 6 games.

Netherlands: Went undefeated in the group stage, and beat Slovakia, Brazil and Uruguay in the knockout rounds to advance to the finals. Outscored opponents 12-5 in 6 games.

Players to Watch

Netherlands: Wesley Sniejder, Arjen Robben, Mark Van Bommell, Drik Kuyt, Robin van Persie
Spain: Xavi, David Villa, Xabi Alonso, Andres Iniesta, Cesc Fabregas, Fernando Torres

Just take a look at the nominees for the Golden Ball, the trophy given to the best player of the tournament and the characteristics as identified by the FIFA Technical Study Group. 5 of the 10 players play for the Netherlands or Spain.

Andres Iniesta (Spain) – Very fine ball-playing attacking midfielder, a star for the team, impressive dribbling ability
Arjen Robben (Netherlands) – Very good pace and dribbling skills, wonderful ability to cut inside from the right, effective to his team
Wesley Sneijder (Netherlands) – A maestro in midfield, exceptional work rate, the engine of Netherland’s attacks, excellent passer and scorer
David Villa (Spain) – Top scorer; quick, two footed, very good on one-on-one situations, provides good final passes, excellent finisher
Xavi (Spain) – The metronome and the engine of the Spanish team, very influential in the passing style of the game, one of the finest midfielders in the tournament

The outcome of the game will be determined by…

…who will control possession and dominate the midfield.

The Spanish midfield composed of Xavi, Xabi Alonso, Andres Iniesta, Cesc Fabregas, and co. is the best unit in the World, and as a result, they are the best passing and possession keeping teams in the tournament. Against Germany, Xavi completed 105 passes, just only the 8th player to complete at least 100 passes since 1966. For the tournament, he now has 509 passes, only the 2nd player in history to complete at least 500 passes in a single World Cup (the other was Brazil’s Dunga who completed 589 in 1994). If the Spanish midfield is clicking on Sunday, they will give David Villa plenty of opportunities for chances on goal.

However, the Dutch midfield is pretty dang good as well, with Wesley Sneijder, Mark Van Bommell, and Nigel De Jong more than capable of holding their own.

The key will be whether or not van Bommell and De Jong can contain Xavi, Alonso, and Iniesta, and whether or not Sneijder can work his magic up front.

The competition within the competition

Currently, Spain’s David Villa and the Netherland’s Wesley Sneijder share the tournament goal scoring lead, with each scoring 5 goals. With both teams probably playing a very tight game, the lone goal can very well come from either Villa or Sneijder. Their team will win the title, and they’ll win the “Golden Boot”.

However, you can’t rule out Diego Forlan of Uruguay who sits behind Villa and Sneijder with 4 goals. If Villa or Sneijder dont score in the finals and Forlan scores 1 or more goals against Germany in the 3rd place goal, Forlan will pull the upset and win the Golden Boot.

For what it’s worth, in my group stage recap post, I had David Villa winning the Golden Boot Trophy.

The X-Factor

The biggest X-Factor has to be Fernando Torres, the player who scored the game winning goal against Germany in the Euro 2008. One of the best strikers in the World, Torres was hurt while playing for Liverpool earlier this year, and has struggled to regain his form. To a shock of many, Torres has scored no goals in 6 appearances this World Cup.

It’ll be interesting to see if Spanish coach Vicente del Bosque gives him the start this coming Sunday. If he happens to find his form and contributes well, he will form once again a very scary strike partner with David Villa, and give the already shaky Dutch defense even more problems.

The Predictions

I will agree with Paul the Octopus, and predict a Spanish victory.

July 6, 2010

World Cup 2010: The quarterfinal rounds

The quarterfinal matchup of World Cup 2010 brought about some of the most interesting story lines of this world cup, none of which was more controversial than Luis Suarez’s handball incident during the Ghana vs Uruguay match.

Besides this incident, the other biggest surprise was the outcome of the Germany/Argentina and Brazil/Netherlands games. All 5 South American teams made it out of the group stage, and 4 of the teams made it to the quarterfinals. Many analysts predicted that the South American countries would breeze through this round as well and occupy 2 or 3 semifinal spots. However, this was not the case as Brazil and Argentina both were defeated by the Netherlands and Germany, respectively.

What happened in those two games? Weren’t Argentina and Brazil very strong in the group stage and the round of 16 stage? Were they over hyped? Are Germany and the Netherlands that good? Are Argentina and Brazil that bad?

Argentina and Brazil both boast some of the greatest collection of talent and skill of any team in the world. However, going into this tournament, there was a lot of controversy surrounding the managers of both these teams.

After Argentina struggled through qualifying for the World Cup, the Argentinian Federation fired Alfia Basil and brought in Diego Maradona, one of the greatest players ever in the sport, but also one of the most controversial. His appointment was marked with ridicule by the media and he was heavily criticized, mainly because this was his first time coaching a team at any level. He was further criticized after he used over 100 different players in his first years of coaching the team, trying to figure out the right players and strategy.

Brazil too had its share of controversy after Dunga took over as coach. He abandoned the traditional Brazilian, free flowing, creative style of play, and instituted a very traditional, conservative, defensive style of play. He even went so far as leaving Ronaldinho, one of the best players in the world, off the team because Ronaldinho didnt fit in his plans for the team.

Knowing this, how does this explain what happened?

Like I mentioned above, Brazil and Argentina both have some of the best collection of talent out of any team in this world. I believe they were able to breeze through the group stage and their round of 16 game on pure talent alone. For Argentina, I dont think Maradona knows that much about tactical football strategy and I really dont think that he did THAT much coaching during the World Cup. Argentina was by far a better team than Nigeria, South Korea, Greece, and Mexico and Maradona just let them be and let them outplay them. However, when they faced a strong team like Germany, who is coached by a very smart Joachim Low, they simply didnt have a chance against them because I think Maradona didnt really know what he was doing.

Brazil’s loss against the Netherlands was unlike the Argentinian’s loss…it was a bit more unfortunate. Brazil was up 1-0 at the half, but eventually fell victim by an own goal and a complete meltdown of the team after a player was sent off with a red card. However, like Argentina, Brazil wasnt as strong as everyone thought they’d be. I think the biggest warning sign was their 2-1 victory over North Korea. The one goal given up was the only goal scored by North Korea the entire tournament, who were defeated by Portugal 7-0 and Ivory Coast 3-0. A lot of people gave credit to North Korea for playing a very strong game, but that was no excuse for Brazil to not score more goals. After their 0-0 tie with Portugal, one could have seen that this team wasnt like Brazilian teams from before. This team’s offense at times looked out of sync, and unlike that of the number one team in the world.

What about Germany and the Netherlands? Where did they come from?

Germany has always been a powerhouse in soccer, and their success shouldnt come as a surprise to many people. Some might say that they’re the strongest team remaining in this tournament. Despite a 1-0 loss to Serbia, I think they are playing some of the best football right now after scoring 4 goals each against Australia, England, and Argentina. They are also the “biggest” surprise of the tournament for me. Before the World Cup started, I didnt think they would be able to advance far because of the injury to their captain, Michael Ballack, and because of the poor form of one of their best strikers, Miroslav Klose.

I think the injury to Ballack was a blessing in disguise. Ballack is a semi-diva on the field and constantly wants the ball. With him off the field, it’s given the younger players a chance to shine, which is what exactly Bastian Schweinstiger has done in the midfield. Another surprise has been the form of Klose. Klose scored only 6 goals in 38 games this past season for his club, Bayern Munich, which was the lowest goal total in his career. However, he’s completely turned around his game for the World Cup and has scored 4 goals for Germany so far. Just like the lesson learned from Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, and Kevin Garnett of the Boston Celtics this past season, star veteran, experienced players will always show up on the greatest stage.

Now, the Netherlands success might be a bit surprising to some people, but it really shouldnt be. The Netherlands, like Spain, is widely considered to be the best country to never have won the World Cup. They have always enjoyed much success at the European Championship level, making it to the semifinals twice this decade in 2000 and 2004 as well as the quarterfinal round in 2008. The Netherlands now are what Brazil used to be back in the day…a skilled, creative, free flowing team that is also very sound defensively. I fully expect them to dominate Uruguay in the semifinals and earn a birth in the finals.

Semi-final Predictions

The Netherlands over Uruguay
Germany over Spain

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