With the conclusion of the 2nd set of games, the advancement picture for all teams is pretty clear.
The following teams move on to the next round, regardless of the outcome of the 3rd game: Brazil and Netherlands.
The following teams have already been eliminated from the tournament: North Korea and Cameroon.
All other 28 teams have a MATHEMATICAL chance of advancing to the next round, though some might be more probably than others.
Here are the following advancement scenarios for all teams. Note the following tiebreakers to decide the advancing team.
1) Total points after 3 games (3 pts for a win, 1 pt for a tie, 0 points for a loss)
2) Goal differential (total goals scored – total goals give up). This is noted by “GD” below.
3) Total goals scored
4) Head-to-head matchup
Group A
Uruguay (4pts/3gd) and Mexico (4pts/2gd) are in the driver’s seat in this group. If they play to a draw in their last game, both advance to the next round. France (1pt/-2gd) and South Africa (1pt/-3gd), have a very slight chance to advance. They have to outright win their game, and hope there is a clear winner in the Uruguay/Mexico game. On top of that, they have to make up goal differentials…the other game’s winner has to win by at least 2 goals, and either France/SA have to win by at least 2 goals.
Pre-World Cup Predictions: France and Mexico
Post-1st game Predictions: Uruguay and Mexico
Post-2nd game Predictions: Uruguay and Mexico
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